Soft earnings didn’t appear to concern AB&Company Co.,Ltd.’s (TSE:9251) shareholders over the last week. We think that the softer headline numbers might be getting counterbalanced by some positive underlying factors.
View our latest analysis for AB&CompanyLtd
A Closer Look At AB&CompanyLtd’s Earnings
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company’s average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the ‘non-FCF profit ratio’.
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it’s not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
For the year to October 2024, AB&CompanyLtd had an accrual ratio of -0.12. That implies it has good cash conversion, and implies that its free cash flow solidly exceeded its profit last year. To wit, it produced free cash flow of JP¥2.7b during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of JP¥1.08b. AB&CompanyLtd’s free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Our Take On AB&CompanyLtd’s Profit Performance
AB&CompanyLtd’s accrual ratio is solid, and indicates strong free cash flow, as we discussed, above. Because of this, we think AB&CompanyLtd’s earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! And the EPS is up 18% annually, over the last three years. At the end of the day, it’s essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. If you want to do dive deeper into AB&CompanyLtd, you’d also look into what risks it is currently facing. While conducting our analysis, we found that AB&CompanyLtd has 2 warning signs and it would be unwise to ignore them.
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of AB&CompanyLtd’s profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to ‘follow the money’ and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.